I agree. Our coach isnt making the correct changes or makes knee jerk reactions to games based on feelings instead of stats. Our PP isnt scoring at a historic pace and we still suck at 5v5 scoring
If he would keep the lines where stats and analytics say they are their best and stops moving goat, kravy, kids up and down the line while prioritizing career 4th liners vesey and goodrow (he has literally said « makes every line better » and « no reason, i like him » about why goodrow gets the mins and linemates he does) and vets over everyone else to playing more minutes. Plus stop putting blais and having harpur and hajek over jones. Also the one area he needs to change, hes being a stubborn ass about.
Please name me a playoff bound team that is this far into the season and still changing lines every 2-3 games?
sagmoon21
No way do the Devils have nearly a 96% chance of making the playoffs with their recent collapse (8 fucking losses in their last 10, sorry but there’s no shot). If the season ended next week, sure, but there’s a LOT of hockey left and the way they were playing at the beginning was not sustainable. At all. Every time my Devils fan friends talked shit earlier this season I told them « we’ll come back to this in March » and I stand by that.
I think the Bruins being listed as having such a high chance to win the Cup is crazy. Not only can you NOT make that type of judgement by New Year’s (see the Blues winning the Cup after being literally dead last in the league in January), the President’s Trophy winner — which is the track that they’re on as of now, who knows if that will change — has only won the Cup eight times. So I don’t agree with that either.
My take on US? We will scrape our way into the playoffs. Not because we suck, but because the division is ridiculously stacked. I think we’re on an obvious upward trajectory from the beginning of the season but that doesn’t mean it’ll be flawless. It will be tight but we’ll get it done. And once you’re in the playoffs, all bets are off. I think we have the potential to be very dangerous in that setting and have already proven that we can beat talented teams like Carolina. All of this to say that I’m not worried in the slightest and we’ll do fine
flaamed
Damn Seattle got a better chance to win the cup then we do of even making it
robbiejandro
Pretty sure it looked very similar at a point last year and look where we ended up!
SwarthySphere87
If Moneypuck has us above 50%, were missing it. If we are below 50%, we’re good
FoghornLeghorn99
We are currently on the outside looking in so I can understand this.
However, goalies like Igor tend to drag teams in if they have to in the last 20 or so games, which is just something they don’t account for.
JoeyDeM99
Rangers had bad odds all year last year on money puck and we all know what happened last year so I don’t pay too much attention to it
molotok_c_518
The analyst has odds of Toronto making it to the second round, soI’m taking it with a grain of salt.
PapaQuebec23
Once again, the Leafs are nearly the highest percentage to win the Cup (9%) when everyone knows that they’ll lose game 7 in the first round [again].
Total-Collection9031
The numbers never lie. Only the number makers…
Tommybrady20
Specifically ours; yeah sure. I’m sort of fading on being pessimistic this season.
The deadline can’t come soon enough and the vibes around the team and “magic” aren’t quite the same. It’s going to be a battle till the last game and you could flip a coin
ExperienceNo7751
Imagine working so hard to create this data and it spitting out the Candy Canes have a better chance in the playoffs then Boston…what a fucking joke.
VT_Forever
Yeah whoever made this is definitely a Leafs fan.
Sanchezed
Toronto 😂
Nylander92
Moneypuck hates the rangers stats this year and is usually pretty bad imo. Everyone always posts their deserve to win meter and it’s garbage
AIC_333
About right but idk about some of these other ones
Mr_Abobo
My thoughts? Lol.
SpaceBass18
I honestly think a little less than half a chance is fair. You can only go by what HAS happened as opposed to what we hope will happen. We’ve sucked. And our competition is all playing well and in playoff spots.
mandiblesofdoom
Moneypuck’s model underestimated the Rangers last year. Much of it was our fabulous goaltending & very good power play, which apparently their model doesn’t account for.
This year we are not quite as good in those areas, but better (I believe) in the 5-on-5 possession stats that Moneypuck relies on …. 42% seems low. I believe we’re more like 70-80% likely to make the playoffs. Probably we fight with WAS, NJ, NYI for the wildcard spots. One of these four teams won’t make it.
CreatorOfUsernames
The collapse of the Panthers this year is the most interesting part of this to me
21 Comments
It’s pretty fair honestly
I agree. Our coach isnt making the correct changes or makes knee jerk reactions to games based on feelings instead of stats. Our PP isnt scoring at a historic pace and we still suck at 5v5 scoring
If he would keep the lines where stats and analytics say they are their best and stops moving goat, kravy, kids up and down the line while prioritizing career 4th liners vesey and goodrow (he has literally said « makes every line better » and « no reason, i like him » about why goodrow gets the mins and linemates he does) and vets over everyone else to playing more minutes. Plus stop putting blais and having harpur and hajek over jones. Also the one area he needs to change, hes being a stubborn ass about.
Please name me a playoff bound team that is this far into the season and still changing lines every 2-3 games?
No way do the Devils have nearly a 96% chance of making the playoffs with their recent collapse (8 fucking losses in their last 10, sorry but there’s no shot). If the season ended next week, sure, but there’s a LOT of hockey left and the way they were playing at the beginning was not sustainable. At all. Every time my Devils fan friends talked shit earlier this season I told them « we’ll come back to this in March » and I stand by that.
I think the Bruins being listed as having such a high chance to win the Cup is crazy. Not only can you NOT make that type of judgement by New Year’s (see the Blues winning the Cup after being literally dead last in the league in January), the President’s Trophy winner — which is the track that they’re on as of now, who knows if that will change — has only won the Cup eight times. So I don’t agree with that either.
My take on US? We will scrape our way into the playoffs. Not because we suck, but because the division is ridiculously stacked. I think we’re on an obvious upward trajectory from the beginning of the season but that doesn’t mean it’ll be flawless. It will be tight but we’ll get it done. And once you’re in the playoffs, all bets are off. I think we have the potential to be very dangerous in that setting and have already proven that we can beat talented teams like Carolina. All of this to say that I’m not worried in the slightest and we’ll do fine
Damn Seattle got a better chance to win the cup then we do of even making it
Pretty sure it looked very similar at a point last year and look where we ended up!
If Moneypuck has us above 50%, were missing it. If we are below 50%, we’re good
We are currently on the outside looking in so I can understand this.
However, goalies like Igor tend to drag teams in if they have to in the last 20 or so games, which is just something they don’t account for.
Rangers had bad odds all year last year on money puck and we all know what happened last year so I don’t pay too much attention to it
The analyst has odds of Toronto making it to the second round, soI’m taking it with a grain of salt.
Once again, the Leafs are nearly the highest percentage to win the Cup (9%) when everyone knows that they’ll lose game 7 in the first round [again].
The numbers never lie. Only the number makers…
Specifically ours; yeah sure. I’m sort of fading on being pessimistic this season.
The deadline can’t come soon enough and the vibes around the team and “magic” aren’t quite the same. It’s going to be a battle till the last game and you could flip a coin
Imagine working so hard to create this data and it spitting out the Candy Canes have a better chance in the playoffs then Boston…what a fucking joke.
Yeah whoever made this is definitely a Leafs fan.
Toronto 😂
Moneypuck hates the rangers stats this year and is usually pretty bad imo. Everyone always posts their deserve to win meter and it’s garbage
About right but idk about some of these other ones
My thoughts? Lol.
I honestly think a little less than half a chance is fair. You can only go by what HAS happened as opposed to what we hope will happen. We’ve sucked. And our competition is all playing well and in playoff spots.
Moneypuck’s model underestimated the Rangers last year. Much of it was our fabulous goaltending & very good power play, which apparently their model doesn’t account for.
This year we are not quite as good in those areas, but better (I believe) in the 5-on-5 possession stats that Moneypuck relies on …. 42% seems low. I believe we’re more like 70-80% likely to make the playoffs. Probably we fight with WAS, NJ, NYI for the wildcard spots. One of these four teams won’t make it.
The collapse of the Panthers this year is the most interesting part of this to me