[How Avalanche’s use of analytics is part of club’s secret sauce (denverpost.com)](https://www.denverpost.com/2024/05/05/colorado-avalanche-analytics-success/) Il s’agit d’un bon article sur la façon dont une équipe devrait utiliser l’analyse, et met clairement en évidence pourquoi vous ne pouvez pas vraiment ramener Bowness l’année prochaine. Cette partie en particulier est assez accablante : *Est-ce que / comment les Avs ont utilisé l’analyse pour aider le club dans sa déroute en cinq matchs contre les Jets ?* « Oui, absolument », a déclaré Johnson. *Voulez-vous partager des exemples maintenant que la série est terminée ?* « Non », répondit Johnson avec un sourire malicieux. « Nous savions qu’il y avait certaines choses qu’ils faisaient bien, et qu’il y avait certaines choses avec lesquelles ils avaient du mal. Et nous savions que c’étaient les choses sur lesquelles nous allions nous concentrer et essayer d’exploiter. J’ai déjà posté ceci, mais je le publierai à nouveau car cela montre comment l’entêtement et l’attitude de Bowness envers l’entraînement ont essentiellement condamné les Jets dans la série contre les Avs : Extrait de l’article de Murat Ates dans The Athletic : « Bowness a dit à plusieurs reprises qu’il entraînait par sensation. , faisant confiance à son instinct, et qu’il est plus heureux de perdre son entraînement que de changer son approche du jeu.’ Prenez tout cela ensemble et cela dresse le portrait d’un entraîneur qui est déconnecté de la LNH d’aujourd’hui aux plus hauts niveaux. Il a un système qui réussira en saison régulière lorsque les équipes n’ont pas le temps de vraiment se concentrer ou de s’adapter assez rapidement, mais qui vous détruira dans une série éliminatoire. Bowness a montré qu’il ne peut pas procéder à des ajustements et, même lorsqu’on lui présente des preuves analytiques que les choses qu’il fait ne fonctionnent pas ou constituent un échec catastrophique, il continue de le faire. Comme indiqué ci-dessus, Bowness est convaincu que sa voie est la seule. Lorsque vous prenez tout cela en considération et que vous ajoutez le désir des joueurs d’avoir plus de jeunes/espoirs dans la formation (Bowness jouera toujours un vétéran plutôt qu’un jeune joueur), je ne vois tout simplement pas comment vous pouvez ramener Bowness.
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choicestk
11 Comments
Analytics aren’t everything but they’re an extremely useful tool to find out your inefficiencies/deficiencies. There’s a reason every company you interact with is always collecting data, it’s to make sense of all the chaos and make informed decisions and it should be no different in hockey. The ones that ignore analytics do it at their own peril.
was just about to post this lol
I think their use of analytics boiled down to when shuffles had the puck behind the net hook him knowing this is »playoff hockey » and it won’t be called, when ehlers is exiting the zone hook him for the same reason, basically hook everyone because refs don’t call it in the playoffs unless it’s really bad.
did they exploit some parts of the Jets game which were dangerously predictable, like drop passes and cycling at both ends? Absolutely. Were they able to use that knowledge to break up the Jets « flow » and pry open cracks in the defensive structure? Probably, yeah.
But their analytics weren’t why Hellebuyck let in multiple softies in each game. Their analytics weren’t the reason the refs kept calling penalties that would be borderline in the regular season, gifting the team with better special teams a massive advantage. Ultimately the Jets did as much to lose the series for themselves as the Avs did to beat them.
And the sad part is that when he leaves, it’s Arniel’s job and he’s not a very analytics driven guy either. Can we just get a good coach for once that *doesn’t* have any ties to this org? Like why do we keep recycling the same guys that we couldn’t win with before
The Blue Jays took Berrios out while he was hot for a left-handed pitcher Kikuchi last October. Needless to say, the Jays lost and probably because of analytics rather than trusting the gut or momentum of the game. Analytics are great but not also the only answer. Bowness did change the trajectory of the jets and made them a 4th place team in the league. Yes we sucked at the playoffs but to put solely on him is unfair assessment.
You could watch one Jets game on film and realize their D can’t pass the puck.
Pressure the D and free up the puck. Leave all 3 of your forwards blue line and in to collect the turnvers, tell your D to be aggressive behind the forecheck to collect the puck when inevitably the Jets forwards have to start playing below your forecheck and just lifting pucks out into open ice…eventually tire out the Jets forwards who have to work to even just move the puck across their own blueline for the entire game. Be super aggressive in any puck battle in all 3 zones because they will already be tired from the amount of work they are doing just to get into neutral ice.
All the adjustments to this require D who can move the puck. I’m not a huge fan of Bowness but I’m not sure Scotty Bowman in his prime would have made a difference here with the talent/compete level gulch between us and the Avs.
The games are so tight. Teams are so competitive and even.. all it takes is a little crack, exploit it with the level of talent Avs have. It’s not rocket appliances.
if you look at the last few cup winning teams, they had a ton of analytical people in their staff. their importance is severely underrated and appreciated in successful runs
For the record, I agree that Bowness should retire. He did an amazing job in turning the club around, but him and Lauer should go bye bye now.
That said…
From what I’ve understood, Bowness’ comments about coaching by « gut » was not to say he doesn’t use analytics, but that how he utilizes that info (which is all that analytics can do – inform, not coach) is also informed by his years of experience in dealing with people and in the game.
Coach Bednar on other hand didn’t say « I guess I’m doing this because the computer told me to ». He utilized that info in concert with all that he knows about his players as people and implements adjustments accordingly.
If analytics were all that were needed to coach a team, then we’d be excellent NHL coaches. And too many of us are of that opinion imo
Organization 10 years behind as always