Thibaud Chatel est un analyste de hockey qui cogère NLIceData, une société d’analyse basée en Suisse qui suit les données et fournit des services de conseil aux équipes. Il a également construit des modèles de prospects et écrit sur diverses recherches sur le hockey au cours des 10 dernières années. L’année dernière, Thibaud a suivi 22 matchs des matchs de David Reinbacher en Ligue nationale, analysant ses performances dans tous les aspects du jeu. Vous pouvez poser vos questions pour Thibaud et il commencera à répondre vers 19h ce soir. Ceci est principalement pour parler de Reinbacher mais n’hésitez pas si vous avez d’autres questions liées à son travail. Liens: [https://twitter.com/thibaud\_chatel?s=21](https://twitter.com/thibaud_chatel?s=21)
[https://thibaudchatel.substack.com/](https://thibaudchatel.substack.com/)
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flepine44
12 Comments
If you had to compare Nemec and Jiricek during their draft year with Reinbacher where would you rank him? If ranking in order is too shallow of an analysis, how would you compare their games?
Thanks for doing this!
What seems to best predicts NHL success from the Swiss league?
What kind of defenseman would fit well on a pairing with Reinbacher? Would it make sense, given his skillset, to put a defenseman next to him that takes many offensive risks? Or do you see Reinbacher functioning well with a more defensive defenseman?
Thanks for this!
Something I’m always interested in when scouting defensmen is how often they can “create” a transition. For example, Reinbacher is a hard hitting defensman with good board skills, but how often can he take a play heading one direction, and move it in the other direction. This opposed to how often his “play stopping ability” merely slows down a play. Additionally, on the other end of the ice, how quick does a player like Reinbacher react to changes in direction, and is he more often staying with the play as it goes down his direction, or rather is he “keeping up”
The NHL is a quick and hard fought game, and a player who can dominiate these 2 situations in general has a better chance in keeping up in the NHL, and I feel that these can be even more important than hard hitting or fast skating, though a combination of this type of transitional play with those attributes is my model for a star.
I guess my question boils down to this.
a) How often does Reinbacher’s defensive play contribute to a turnover / a transition heading down the end of the ice VS a temporary hinderance for the other team
b) How apt is Reinbacher at staying a step ahead of the play on transitions to defensive play.
c) How does he compare on these attributes to players like Seider, or other similar players
Is what your model takes as input public knowledge? If so, what does information does it account for? Access to quality data seems to be a major challenge in hockey modeling, especially when it comes to prospects.
Thanks for doing this!
There’s been a lot of chatter about a player’s “ceiling”. What would you say is the most limiting factor (or factors) about his game? With his development over the past year, is there anything specific you can’t see him adding to his game?
Hi, and thank you for doing this!
How much of value does your model bring overall for a player? If I phrase it differently, we hav seen plenty of players that are supposed to be beasts in analytics, but who never manage to have a big impact on the ice (most recently probably Puljujärvi comes in mind).
How confident are you that your model will translate as expected once David will be in the NHL and how would you improve it? Thanks!
Thank you for doing this. I’m dismayed to see a vocal minority bring such shame to the Montreal community. Personally, I am excited to see this kid play after reading your article rating him 2nd behind Bedard. What gets you most excited about Reinbacher’s game?
Hey Thibaud! Do you think Reinbachers success as a D+0 NL is at all over-rated because he is part of the older crowd of the draft? I know there were some stats thrown around showing Josi’s improvement at Reinbachers age was better than what he showed this year. I guess i’m just wondering if his hype is inflated by the fact hes got a healthy 9 months or so on many draftees already.
I want to move away from the Reinbacher chatter and understand why the NL seems to be misunderstood by NHL execs and “draft experts”. It seems that there are only a handful of comparables available and that only a few players actually get drafted out of the NL.
Is my assesment correct? If so, why is that? What makes the NL so difficult for 18yos?
Not going to lie I was disappointed for this pick. After reading a bit more about him a was bit releived and understood they went for a high floor- high ceiling pick. And after 2 drafts they the habs show great confidence on their abilities to develop their young prospects.
Here’s the question : is there any analytics that reflects a players ability to learn and grow their games? If not, how would you rank D. Reinbacher in your opinion.
How has the mass Exodus of the KHL impacted the NL? Say comparing when Josi played vs Reinbacker