Chances en séries éliminatoires et force restante du calendrier à l’approche de la mi-saison
—
SiccSemperTyrannis
@Kraken de Seattle
Chances en séries éliminatoires et force restante du calendrier à l’approche de la mi-saison
—
SiccSemperTyrannis
11 Comments
Graphs from The Athletic which updates this post each day based on the latest game results https://theathletic.com/4938709/2024/01/07/nhl-playoffs-chances-projected-standings-chart/
Seattle’s played 39 of 82 games so I thought we could do a (slightly early) mid-season check in.
7 of 8 western playoff spots are projected to be near-certain now that the Oilers have gotten their shit together. The Kraken are battling with 3 other teams – Minnesota, Nashville, and Calgary – for that final 8th playoff spot and are 3rd among that group to get in.
One very important caveat is that the model looks at the entire season’s results and I think we’re getting knocked down for the poor start to the season. If the Kraken are actually the team we’ve seen over the past 10 games then the model is likely underestimating the team.
One thing that could be huge is how easy our remaining schedule is. Seattle has played the **9th toughest schedule so far** based on projected final standings but has the **3rd easiest remaining schedule**.
I doubt the Kraken can keep getting 18 of every 20 points per 10 games like we have in our past 10, but an easier schedule combined with the improved play would be the ideal environment for great 2nd half of the season.
Man, it is just a pileup of closely ranked Western Conference teams for those Playoff/WC spots huh. It’ll be an interesting next few months.
It’s crazy they still have the wild so high up compared to Arizona or the blues. They definitely look like they’re playing better than the beginning of the season but still close to last right now with the same amount of games as the other two, and are 5-5 in there last ten.
Also the oilers bump is so funny to me, being absoutely terrible to being 4 points back from 3rd is crazy.
So we have 86 pts remaining up for grabs. How many do you think we need to get the Wc2 slot? Maybe 55 or so?
Looks like someone is going down in Flames
RIP Ottowa and Anaheim
Surprising that they put Edmonton at a 92% chance of making the playoffs. They are basically in the same position as the Kraken and the Kraken have an easier schedule.
I wrote this [article for Sound of Hockey](https://soundofhockey.com/2024/01/06/kraken-in-the-playoffs/), that goes over SoS and what the Kraken need to-do to make the playoffs.
I’m not optimistic about a Wild Card spot. We’re just not there, and I feel after the break we’ll drop off.
Would love to be pleasantly surprised though.
Honestly I think our playoff chances rest heavily in how well the Oilers do.
Our slow start has put us in a Seahawks position where we are forced to rely on other teams to win/lose regardless of what we do ourselves.
Winning a shit ton of points will obviously make that easier, and knock a couple close teams out of the question, but we are still in a position where we need STL, EDM, ARI, and NSH to hit slumps regardless of what we do ourselves.
I’m glad they are going to be playing meaningful games. I just hope Francis remains clear eyed. If the team retains such long odds come the trade deadline, he has to get assets back for his numerous expiring contracts. Missing the playoffs and letting 4 players walk for nothing would be a grave mistake
The Met is a bloodbath