[Jeff] Était curieux de savoir si les gars avec des impacts offensifs de force égale médiocre âgés de 20 à 22 ans ont réussi à le renverser de 23 à 25 ans, et généralement l’impact en début de carrière avait tendance à prédire l’impact futur. Les gars qui l’ont bien fait à un âge précoce sont devenus encore meilleurs à leur apogée.
Was curious about whether guys with poor even strength offensive impacts from ages 20-22 managed to turn it around from 23-25, and generally early career impact tended to predict future impact. Guys who did it well at an early age got even better in their prime. (1/6) https://t.co/ucYevT5Od8 pic.twitter.com/tWkgH8XTt4
— Jeff (@HabsHater42) September 15, 2022
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seeldoger47
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I realize this is a thread about Nick Suzucki, however it’s a pretty good thread on how to think about projecting players and parsing between how they project (elite/top line/top six/etc). The key findings are here
>[Now if you go by which guys were below average offensively from ages 20-22 (average EVO/60 is ~0.02) there were 37 players, and 22 of them developed into top 6 players. But of those 37 only 3 (Neal, Simmonds, Barzal) became top line players and 3 (Lucic, Teravainen, McCann) became arguable top line guys.](https://twitter.com/HabsHater42/status/1570508178823221248)